Iowa State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
130  Andrew Jordan SO 31:54
217  Dan Curts JR 32:12
253  Thomas Pollard SO 32:19
257  Stanley Langat SO 32:20
284  Nathan Rodriguez JR 32:23
322  Milo Greder FR 32:30
342  Festus Lagat SO 32:32
353  Sam Clausnitzer SO 32:33
415  John Nownes JR 32:40
531  Zach Black FR 32:54
863  Ricardo Banuelos JR 33:28
National Rank #34 of 315
Midwest Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 95.9%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 15.3%


Regional Champion 36.8%
Top 5 in Regional 98.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andrew Jordan Dan Curts Thomas Pollard Stanley Langat Nathan Rodriguez Milo Greder Festus Lagat Sam Clausnitzer John Nownes Zach Black Ricardo Banuelos
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 635 31:20 32:53 32:28 32:15 32:05 32:25 32:41
Big 12 Championship 10/28 763 32:12 32:18 32:15 32:25 32:34 33:06 32:41 32:35 32:53 33:28
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 680 31:54 31:54 32:53 32:21 32:24 32:26 32:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 95.9% 25.0 626 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.1 3.1 3.8 5.1 4.6 5.9 7.4 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.6 9.8 7.8 7.2
Region Championship 100% 2.3 89 36.8 24.0 17.1 14.1 7.0 0.8 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Jordan 96.7% 106.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Dan Curts 95.9% 153.6
Thomas Pollard 95.9% 169.9
Stanley Langat 95.9% 171.9
Nathan Rodriguez 95.9% 180.2
Milo Greder 95.9% 195.3
Festus Lagat 95.9% 199.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Jordan 5.8 3.6 9.4 10.2 11.1 9.6 7.5 5.3 5.0 4.2 2.3 3.1 2.4 1.5 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8
Dan Curts 15.5 0.2 0.4 1.7 2.8 3.7 5.2 4.8 4.0 5.0 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.5 3.0 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.7
Thomas Pollard 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.0 4.2 2.7 3.7 3.4 3.8 3.3 3.8 3.3 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.9 2.3 3.1
Stanley Langat 21.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.7 3.2 2.6 3.0 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.2
Nathan Rodriguez 23.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.2 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.7 2.4 3.2 3.4 2.5 3.1 3.4 2.2 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.7
Milo Greder 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.9 2.3 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.3 3.1 3.2 2.2 2.8
Festus Lagat 31.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.6 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.5 3.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 36.8% 100.0% 36.8 36.8 1
2 24.0% 100.0% 24.0 24.0 2
3 17.1% 98.8% 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.4 3.8 4.2 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 16.9 3
4 14.1% 96.1% 0.1 1.1 2.3 3.7 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 13.5 4
5 7.0% 67.9% 0.2 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.2 2.3 4.8 5
6 0.8% 6.3% 0.1 0.8 0.1 6
7 0.4% 0.4 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 95.9% 36.8 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.4 4.8 6.6 7.8 5.3 3.6 2.7 0.9 0.7 4.1 60.7 35.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Oklahoma State 59.4% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.4
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 10.0